Will Texas be able to fund the government after TEXIT?

Simple arithmetic proves the ability of an independent Texas to fund a government at the same level that Texans are currently accustomed to if that’s what Texans want.

Rebuilt in 2026 on six years of federal data (2019 through 2024), the arithmetic is straightforward. Texans pay about $453 billion a year to the two governments that tax them, Washington and Austin. Governing Texas, every program, every federal and state job, every department, every facility and base, costs about $295 billion a year. That works out to roughly $14,500 paid per Texan against about $9,400 in cost. The revenue Texans already generate covers the full cost of their government, with a wide margin, and without raising anyone’s taxes by a single cent. To be fair about it, net Social Security and Medicare out of both sides, the benefits and the payroll taxes that fund them, and the margin narrows toward break-even, so the honest claim is not a giant surplus. It is self-sufficiency: Texas funds 100 percent of its own government, and a large share of the rest of the country’s besides.