Will my taxes go up if Texas becomes independent?

No, they would not have to, and the honest case points toward paying less, not more. Texas funds itself today with no personal income tax, and that does not change at independence.

You already pay enough, to two governments

The whole point of the numbers is that Texans already pay enough, to Washington and Austin combined, to fund a single Texas government with room to spare. There is no funding hole that a new tax would have to fill, so the scare story that you would suddenly owe more does not hold up.

The biggest bill you carry is the one you would shed

The most expensive part of what Texans pay now is the money that leaves the state for Washington, including interest on a federal debt Texas never voted for. That is the part independence ends. Keeping that money home is exactly why the math runs in your favor.

Your tax structure stays familiar

Texas keeps the model it already runs: no personal income tax, with the sales tax doing most of the work. The constitutional ban on a personal income tax stays right where Texans put it.

The bottom line

Your taxes do not have to go up, and the realistic conversation after independence is about lowering the burden, not raising it. The fuller breakdown is in the economy answers.